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- π₯ 17 DeepBet AI Picks to Hammer Today (March 25 NBA Slate)
π₯ 17 DeepBet AI Picks to Hammer Today (March 25 NBA Slate)
Every pick below is backed by DeepBet AIβs proprietary models β accounting for matchup data, player usage rates, injuries, game flow, and sharp line movement. These are the highest-edge plays on todayβs board.
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β Tobias Harris OVER 15.5 Points (-132)
Averaging 18.6 PPG in his last 10 games
Spurs allow 48.2% FG to power forwards (3rd worst in NBA)
Usage bumps with Ivey out β adjusted usage rate: 24.8%
Paint-heavy Spurs defense plays right into Harris' strengths
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β Paolo Banchero OVER 28.5 Points (-112)
Averaging 31.3 PPG over last 3 games
Hornets allow 47.2 PPG to PFs (worst in the NBA)
Usage steady even in garbage time
26.5 FGA/game recently + 1.18 PPP = huge scoring ceiling
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β Amen Thompson OVER 3.5 Assists (-144)
Averaging 4.5 AST over last 10 games
Hawks allow 25.3 AST/game (24th in NBA)
Elevated usage with injuries to key teammates
Line moved from -130 to -144 β sharp money alert
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β Trae Young OVER 9.5 Assists (-118)
11.4 APG in March
Rockets allow 6.2 APG to PGs (bottom 5)
Youngβs usage rate jumps to 39.6% with key injuries
70% hit rate in March
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β Collin Sexton OVER 18.5 Points (-120)
20.2 PPG over his last 5
Faces 25th-ranked SG defense (Grizzlies)
Clarkson out = usage boost
Proj. 30.7 minutes with a 25.7% usage rate
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β Devin Vassell OVER 19.5 Points (-112)
Averaging 19.6 PPG over last 8 games
Pistons allow 24.1 PPG to SGs
Usage spike with Wembanyama & Fox out
35+ minutes in projected game script
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β DeMar DeRozan UNDER 21.5 Points (-125)
OKC = NBAβs #1 defense (107 PPG allowed)
Blowout risk lowers projected minutes
Rolling avg: 21.3 PPG
Dort matchup is brutal: 1st percentile defender
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β Scoot Henderson OVER 4.5 Assists (+108)
Season avg: 5.0 AST
Cavs allow 25.8 AST/game
Garland allows 6.7 AST to opposing PGs
29.1% assist rate, 85th percentile for PGs
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β Pistons Team Total OVER 121.5 (-110)
Scored 127 PPG as large favorites
Spurs missing Wemby = defensive crater
Pistons offense trending up: 115.1 PPG baseline
Adjusted projection: 125.3 team points
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β Spurs vs Pistons OVER 233.5 (-108)
Game total projection: 241.6
Spurs allow 123.9 PPG last 10 games
High pace and weak D = fireworks
Sharp money moved total up 1.0 point
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β Jalen Duren OVER 11.5 Rebounds (-115)
12.1 RPG last 7 games
Spurs rank 28th in rebound rate vs centers
No Wemby = massive gap inside
Proj. 33+ mins in a competitive game
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β Stephon Castle UNDER 20.5 Points (-118)
Scored under 21 in 5 straight
Faces top-10 Detroit defense
Blowout script likely β minutes cut
Usage trending down with roster returning
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β Cade Cunningham OVER 26.5 Points (-110)
Averaging 28.4 PPG last 5
Spurs defense without Wemby = exploitable
Proj. 34+ minutes & high usage night
20+ FGA expected
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β Franz Wagner OVER 4.5 Assists (-140)
5.3 APG in last 6 games
Hornets allow 26.7 AST/game
Ball movement role increasing alongside Banchero
High tempo matchup
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β Walker Kessler OVER 2.5 Blocks (-105)
2.8 BPG in last 5 games
Grizzlies = top 5 in shots at rim
High opportunity zone + low foul rate
Strong per-minute block rate
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β Anfernee Simons OVER 3.5 Threes (+110)
Cavs allow 36% from deep
Simons has cleared 3.5 threes in 6 of last 9
Averaging 9.1 3PA/game
Great plus-money value
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β Deni Avdija OVER 19.5 Points (-120)
Averaging 22.5 PPG in last 6
Cavs missing key defenders = green light
Locked into 30+ minutes
Second option usage behind Scoot
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Final Thoughts
This slate is packed with value β and DeepBet AI is constantly scanning for new edges as lines move. Donβt miss your shot to stay ahead of the books.
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