The playoffs are heating up, and so are our projections. Today’s top six value bets come from the most critical matchups on the board. Each pick is backed by advanced analysis, favorable matchups, and market inefficiencies. Let’s lock in.

✅ 1. Donovan Mitchell Over 27.5 Points (-125)

Mitchell is in playoff takeover mode. He’s averaging 28.9 points over his last 10 playoff games, with a projected 41+ minutes of floor time tonight. Indiana struggles to contain elite scorers, and Mitchell has a history of torching them. Expect him to carry the offensive load for Cleveland.

✅ 2. Kristaps Porzingis Over 1.5 Blocks (+110)

Porzingis is a swat machine in the postseason, averaging over 2 blocks per game. The Knicks allow one of the highest block rates to opposing centers, and with Boston’s focus on rim protection, the matchup is ideal. At plus money, this is one of the sharpest plays of the day.

✅ 3. Josh Hart Over 9.5 Rebounds (+116)

Hart is rebounding like a forward, not a guard. With double-digit boards in 3 of his last 5 playoff games and a rolling average of 11.2 rebounds, he’s consistently clearing this line. The Celtics’ pace and shot profile make this a great rebounding spot for Hart.

✅ 4. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 6.5 Assists (+104)

Shai’s distribution has ramped up in the playoffs, with a rolling average of 7.2 assists. Denver ranks near the bottom in assists allowed to guards, and with 38 projected minutes in a tight game script, the value on this over is undeniable.

✅ 5. Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists (+105)

Jokic has hit double-digit assists in 7 of his last 10 playoff games against OKC. His playmaking is elite, and the Thunder are giving up the 4th-most assists to centers this postseason. With a pace-up environment and strong historical edge, Jokic is primed to dish tonight.

✅ 6. Jamal Murray Over 5.5 Assists (-140)

Murray has quietly become a reliable facilitator, especially in the playoffs. Averaging over 6 assists in recent games and with Jokic drawing defenders inside, the passing lanes are wide open. The Thunder’s guard defense has been shaky, making this another solid over.

📲 Want More Daily Picks Like These?

Download DeepChamp AI for daily NBA betting analysis, projections, and insights delivered in a clean, actionable format.

Get it on the App Store here:
https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepchamp-ai/id6742149750

Stay sharp. Stay ahead. Make smarter bets — powered by AI.

⚠️ Disclaimer

This content is for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not constitute gambling, financial, legal, or professional advice. All betting involves risk, and you should never wager more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. DeepChamp AI and its creators are not liable for any losses resulting from the use of this information. Please gamble responsibly.