AMAZING NBA PROP PICKS - March 3

March 03, 2025

Below are our ten hottest NBA prop bets of the day—short, sweet, and ready to go. After the quick picks, stick around for the full breakdown of why each wager holds serious value. Then, when you’re ready for unlimited AI-driven bets, hit the link below each pick analysis to download DeepBet AI! https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepbet-ai/id6742149750

Quick-Hit Picks

1. Trae Young (ATL) – Over 10.5 Assists (-140)

2. Anfernee Simons (POR) – Over 5.5 Assists (+122)

3. Tyrese Maxey (PHI) – Over 6.5 Assists (-125)

4. Ja Morant (MEM) – Over 7.5 Assists (+100)

5. Jimmy Butler (GSW) – Over 5.5 Assists (+120)

6. Malik Beasley (DET) – Over 16.5 Points (-130)

7. DeMar DeRozan (SAC) – Under 4.5 Assists (+114)

8. LaMelo Ball (CHA) – Over 6.5 Assists (+110)

9. Isaiah Collier (UTA) – Over 8.5 Assists (+100)

10. Jonas Valanciunas (SAC) – Over 12.5 Rebounds (+105)

Detailed Breakdown

1. Trae Young – Over 10.5 Assists (-140)

Why We Love It:

• Averaging 11.4 APG this season, nearly a full assist above the posted line.

• Memphis struggles against quick, high-usage point guards, creating ideal assist conditions.

• The game’s pace should be brisk, leading to more possessions and passing opportunities.

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2. Anfernee Simons – Over 5.5 Assists (+122)

Why We Love It:

• Recent surge: +22% in assist rate over the last seven games.

• Facing a Philly squad that ranks low in limiting assists, especially to guards.

• Sharp money has been flowing on the Over at plus-money odds.

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3. Tyrese Maxey – Over 6.5 Assists (-125)

Why We Love It:

• Elevated playmaking role whenever Embiid is out or limited.

• Hitting 7+ APG in recent contests, with matchup data favoring an over.

• Opened at 6.0; the line jumped to 6.5 quickly due to early sharp action.

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4. Ja Morant – Over 7.5 Assists (+100)

Why We Love It:

• Dishing 9.1 APG over his last five, well above his season average of 7.4.

• Atlanta typically allows ample assists to aggressive, transition-heavy PGs.

• Getting plus money (+100) boosts the value of this pick.

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5. Jimmy Butler (GSW) – Over 5.5 Assists (+120)

Why We Love It:

• Stepping into a bigger distributor role with changes in Golden State’s rotation.

• Charlotte’s assist defense is near the bottom of the league.

• Available at +120, offering a nice payout for a line he’s cleared frequently of late.

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6. Malik Beasley (DET) – Over 16.5 Points (-130)

Why We Love It:

• Averaging above 17 points in his last 10 games.

• Utah’s defense is bottom-three in points allowed, a dream spot for shooters.

• Sharp bettors have already steamed the Over, confirming strong market support.

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7. DeMar DeRozan (SAC) – Under 4.5 Assists (+114)

Why We Love It:

• DeRozan’s role on the Kings leans more toward scoring than facilitating.

• 70% Under rate in his last 10 games when the line is set above his average.

• Getting plus-money (+114) for an outcome he hits often is high-value.

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8. LaMelo Ball (CHA) – Over 6.5 Assists (+110)

Why We Love It:

• LaMelo’s last five: 8.2 APG, a noticeable jump from his 7.1 season average.

• Golden State allows the 3rd-most assists to opposing point guards.

• The +110 odds provide a healthy margin above the implied break-even rate.

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9. Isaiah Collier (UTA) – Over 8.5 Assists (+100)

Why We Love It:

• Short-handed Jazz means Collier’s usage and minutes skyrocket.

• Detroit’s defense ranks near the bottom in both pace and assists allowed.

• At even money, there’s a clear edge for a playmaker with a large role.

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10. Jonas Valanciunas (SAC) – Over 12.5 Rebounds (+105)

Why We Love It:

• Huge post-trade rebound bump in Sacramento, especially with Sabonis sidelined.

• Dallas’s frontcourt is depleted, ranking near the bottom in defensive rebounding.

• Even modest minutes can generate 13+ boards, making the +105 a strong bargain.

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Disclaimer

All content is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. Sports betting involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always research thoroughly and wager responsibly.