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Best NBA Player Props for February 24, 2025

February 24, 2025

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Best NBA Player Props for February 24, 2025

1. Trae Young Over 10.5 Assists (-120)

Trae Young has been a dominant facilitator this season, averaging 11.4 assists per game. He has cleared the 10.5-assist mark in 63% of games, making this line one of the most valuable on the board. With Dejounte Murray sidelined, Young’s usage skyrockets, leading to even more playmaking opportunities.

Key Factors:

  • Recent Form: Averaging 12.2 APG over his last three games.

  • Matchup Edge: The Heat allow 9.1 assists per game to opposing point guards, ranking 6th-worst in the league.

  • Game Flow: Projected 117-113 final score suggests a high-paced, competitive game, keeping Young on the floor longer.

  • Line Movement: Opened at -110, moved to -120, indicating sharp money backing the over.

This prop has a high floor, given Young’s elite passing ability and the favorable matchup against a Miami defense that struggles to contain playmakers.

2. Bam Adebayo Over 10.5 Rebounds (-115)

Bam Adebayo continues to dominate the glass, making his rebounding prop an attractive bet. He has recorded 11 or more rebounds in 7 of his last 10 games, and Atlanta ranks bottom five in the league in rebounds allowed to centers.

Key Factors:

  • Recent Form: Averaging 11.3 RPG in his last 10 games.

  • Matchup Edge: The Hawks give up 15.2 rebounds per game to opposing centers.

  • Game Script: A close game (-1.5 spread) means Adebayo should see his usual workload of 35+ minutes.

  • Defensive Play: Adebayo ranks top 10 in contested rebounds per game, ensuring he capitalizes on second-chance opportunities.

Given Atlanta’s weak interior presence, expect Adebayo to clear this line comfortably.

3. Tyler Herro Over 7.5 Assists (+114)

Tyler Herro has stepped up as a playmaker for the Heat, averaging 8.6 assists per game over his last five contests. With Miami dealing with injuries in the backcourt, Herro has assumed a larger offensive role, making this over a solid value at plus odds.

Key Factors:

  • Recent Form: Averaging 8.6 APG over the last five games.

  • Matchup Edge: The Hawks allow 29.4 assists per game, ranking 4th-worst in the league.

  • Injury Impact: Miami is missing multiple guards, shifting additional playmaking responsibility to Herro.

  • Minutes Projection: Expected to play 36+ minutes in a close contest.

  • Line Movement: Opened at +100, now +114, suggesting potential sharp action on the under but presenting value on the over.

With Herro’s increased playmaking role and a matchup against a weak Hawks perimeter defense, this is an excellent bet with strong plus-money value.

Final Thoughts

These three player props stand out based on matchup data, recent form, and line movement.

Best Bets Recap:
✅ Trae Young Over 10.5 Assists (-120)
✅ Bam Adebayo Over 10.5 Rebounds (-115)
✅ Tyler Herro Over 7.5 Assists (+114)

These picks give you a strong chance to cash in on Monday’s NBA slate. Before placing your bets, be sure to check for any last-minute injury updates or line movement.

📢 Want more winning picks? Download DeepBet AI now for unlimited expert predictions that print money.

Good luck, and let’s make some money!

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