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Discover expert, data-driven picks that give you the winning edge. In this post, we break down 11 top-value bets for today, complete with analysis and insights. Plus, we’ve sprinkled in plenty of calls to action so you can get started with DeepBet AI right away.

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1. Myles Turner Over 1.5 Blocks (-130)

Matchup: Brooklyn Nets @ Indiana Pacers – 4:10 PM PT
Why It Hits:

  • Turner’s recent form is strong, posting 2.1 blocks per game in his last 10.

  • The Nets allow 5.7 blocks per game—the 3rd highest in the NBA.

  • He’s already recorded 3 blocks in their last meeting, and sharp money pushed the line from -110 to -130.


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2. Nicolas Claxton Over 8.5 Rebounds (-105)

Matchup: Brooklyn Nets @ Indiana Pacers – 7:00 PM ET
Why It Hits:

  • Claxton’s recent form has him clearing the glass, averaging over 8 rebounds in March.

  • The Pacers rank high in pace, providing extra rebounding opportunities.

  • With the line at 8.5 and a projected probability of 54.3% (versus 51.2% implied), there’s clear value here.


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3. Karl-Anthony Towns Over 10.5 Rebounds (-140)

Matchup: New York Knicks @ Charlotte Hornets – 7:00 PM ET
Why It Hits:

  • Towns averages 13.1 rebounds per game, with recent performances around 12.3 rebounds.

  • The Hornets are one of the worst teams allowed to rebounding, surrendering 45.5 rebounds per game.

  • Sharp action and a 12.3% edge make this a compelling play.


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4. DeMar DeRozan Over 23.5 Points (-115)

Matchup: Chicago Bulls @ Sacramento Kings – 7:10 PM PT
Why It Hits:

  • DeRozan has been heating up with 25.3 PPG over his last 3 games.

  • The Kings boast a weak defensive rating, giving DeRozan even more room to shine.

  • The line moved from 22.5 to 23.5, and historical head-to-head data supports this projection.


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5. Creighton +2.5 (-110)

Matchup: Creighton Bluejays vs. Louisville Cardinals – Early Game
Why It Hits:

  • Creighton’s frontcourt is dominating, led by a standout performance from Ryan Kalkbrenner.

  • Louisville’s guard-heavy attack has led to turnovers, which Creighton can capitalize on.

  • The model indicates a small edge of 1.3 points over the spread.


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6. Creighton vs. Louisville Over 145.5 Total Points (-110)

Matchup: Creighton Bluejays vs. Louisville Cardinals – Early Game
Why It Hits:

  • Both teams exhibit high offensive efficiency with fast-paced play.

  • Our projection indicates the total should come in above 145.5 points, making the Over a value play.

  • This line is backed by solid analysis and sharp action.


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7. High Point vs. Purdue Over 154.5 Total Points (-105)

Matchup: High Point Panthers @ Purdue Boilermakers – 9:40 AM PDT
Why It Hits:

  • The combined scoring projection is around 160.1 points, well above the 154.5-point line.

  • Purdue’s offensive firepower and High Point’s fast pace create more scoring opportunities.

  • With a calculated probability of 58% versus 51.2% implied, this is a strong bet.


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8. Gonzaga vs. Georgia Over 150.5 Total Points (-115)

Matchup: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Georgia Bulldogs – 1:35 PM PDT
Why It Hits:

  • Gonzaga’s elite offense and Georgia’s high-paced play make for a high-scoring contest.

  • The analysis indicates a projection above 150.5 points, and the line movement supports the Over.

  • A probability of 55.3% against a 52.4% implied chance marks this as a value bet.


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9. Draymond Green Over 5.5 Assists (-112)

Matchup: Toronto Raptors @ Golden State Warriors – 7:10 PM PDT
Why It Hits:

  • With Stephen Curry sidelined, Green is set to absorb extra playmaking duties.

  • His recent numbers show a strong trend, with a projection of around 6.3 assists.

  • The odds at -112 and a 63.2% probability make this a highly attractive option.


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10. Brandin Podziemski Over 5.5 Rebounds (-102)

Matchup: Toronto Raptors @ Golden State Warriors – 7:10 PM PDT
Why It Hits:

  • Podziemski is on the rise, averaging 6.3 rebounds in his recent starts.

  • The Raptors struggle on the glass, ranking 24th in defensive rebounding.

  • With an edge of 9.5% and a 60% projected probability, this prop is primed for success.


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11. Raptors +14.0 (-108)

Matchup: Toronto Raptors @ Golden State Warriors – 7:10 PM PDT
Why It Hits:

  • Despite public money favoring the Warriors, our model shows the Raptors cover the spread.

  • With a 70% model confidence versus a 51.9% implied probability, there’s strong value here.

  • This underdog play offers a smart way to capitalize on inflated lines.


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Final Thoughts

Today’s lineup is packed with value, from NBA player props to college totals and even underdog spreads. Our comprehensive analysis shows that every bet here has a strong edge when you break down the numbers. With DeepBet AI’s cutting-edge insights, you can confidently take on the betting world.

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Remember, every wager carries risk. Please bet responsibly and never risk more than you can afford to lose.

Happy Betting!